Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 222.451267 250.197348 280.889224 317.503878 360.184496 408.592350 467.972891
2025-02-16 176.049270 211.583676 254.287592 309.953929 381.436065 471.296935 594.665070
2025-02-23 150.195880 188.392124 236.848889 303.889992 395.939367 520.478478 706.331156
2025-03-02 136.870252 177.829069 232.185954 311.293412 426.415059 592.703313 860.596822
2025-03-09 124.486210 166.415938 224.147796 311.775180 445.733746 650.504447 1003.611097
2025-03-16 112.803593 154.384683 213.413727 306.240969 454.260705 691.982195 1127.579639
2025-03-23 104.906318 146.758633 207.902388 307.348976 472.507240 750.927410 1293.158525
2025-03-30 96.429905 137.380452 198.658944 301.203371 477.545125 787.626865 1425.125408
2025-04-06 90.143336 130.677386 192.745014 299.517862 489.518799 837.955030 1594.817557
2025-04-13 82.173372 120.703007 180.743556 286.241616 479.020628 844.419262 1673.838150
2025-04-20 79.741482 119.196678 182.132035 295.915786 511.475427 939.087051 1971.659166
2025-04-27 78.002842 118.617566 184.913688 308.233425 550.534650 1054.199272 2352.061883
2025-05-04 74.016637 114.141156 180.884667 307.989779 565.455962 1122.295030 2640.315458
2025-05-11 69.141198 107.846533 173.232249 300.191926 563.979984 1153.916202 2841.994236
2025-05-18 65.048557 102.590647 166.971340 294.377127 565.815804 1193.506600 3080.271589
2025-05-25 63.231720 101.112302 167.309506 301.494667 596.680799 1309.470810 3595.957952
2025-06-01 60.623194 98.057962 164.510920 301.957820 612.643261 1391.296162 4035.895698
2025-06-08 57.462182 93.815462 159.180853 296.637199 614.418161 1436.099090 4366.468440
2025-06-15 55.362792 91.347686 157.000139 297.702513 631.547319 1526.785174 4910.379300
2025-06-22 52.574951 87.456262 151.815409 291.793265 630.745827 1566.289518 5271.879192
2025-06-29 50.488601 84.739219 148.722621 290.172390 640.552977 1639.618009 5815.472533
2025-07-06 47.296790 79.793369 140.937807 277.402324 619.961911 1615.700958 5914.255447
2025-07-13 46.708269 79.713544 142.820801 286.708164 658.952584 1789.713203 7053.227683